A Christianity Beyond BinaryGod is beyond gender binary, so why can't our faith be too?I’m a Christian, training to be a minister, and LGBTQ affirming. I was affirming of gender non-conforming and transgender people before I supported people seeking same-sex relationships. This may seem like a bigger step than just acceptance of same-sex marriage, but this affirmation is backed up by medicine, scripture, and praxis that has only gotten stronger since I took this position a few years ago.
Tuesday, March 10, 2020
Beyond binary
How to mitigate the coronavirus
1. It's possible the US will soon look something like Italy looks now. So let's look at what's happening in Italy.
A worst-case scenario about the coronavirus
Suppose we take a worst-case scenario with regard to the coronavirus pandemic:
- Case fatality rates for coronavirus are predicted to be around 0.5% to 1% when it's all said and done. Yes, that's already very high in comparison to, say, the seasonal flu, which is 0.05% to 0.1%. If the predictions are accurate, then that's 1.65 million to 3.3 million dead in a population of approximately 330 million.
However, suppose the case fatality rate from coronavirus is super high at (say) 3%. If 3% die, then that's 9.9 million dead. Call it 10 million dead. That'd be more people than we've ever lost in any war. Maybe even in all the wars we've ever fought combined.
(By the way, I realize this is simplistic. Here is what epidemiologists would say instead. My point in this post isn't accuracy, but a worst-case scenario. Of course, there are always even worst-case scenarios than this worst-case scenario, but I think this is sufficient to say what I'll say below.)
Prophets of doom
I've noticed some people, from all walks of life - including physicians, virologists, and epidemiologists - seem to be stuck in this rut where it's all about how bad the coronavirus is going to be, how we're not being told the truth about how bad it will be, and so on. All their tweets are retweeting other prophets of doom. It's disaster 24/7.
Now, I grant it could well be that the forecast is extremely gloomy. The coronavirus could end up being catastrophic for our nation and the world.
However, we're not there yet. The future hasn't come. We're still in the present.
Hence, why not attempt to focus on what we can do to stem the tide of the coronavirus right now? Begin to change one's mindset from shock and dismay to grim determination to salvage a situation even if it appears to be unsalvageable? What other choice do we have even if it's so bad? Lay down and die?
Just to be clear, I'm not criticizing people for pointing out that the coronavirus is worse than what's reported in the media. It's good to face the facts as they are. It's also necessary for us to make sure the powers that be are doing their job and acting in the American people's best interests.
However, there are some people who are so hyperfocused on the bad that they risk paralyzing themselves. Or panicking. If enough people are like this, then it could result in mass hysteria.
We need to take aggressive action if we are to prevent the darkest timeline from unfolding. My concern is if enough people are driven to despair or start panicking. That's how societies start to unravel.
Monday, March 09, 2020
Makeshift "hospitals"
Here's a thought about a solution to the coronavirus overwhelming our hospitals:
1. As we know, hospitals and related medical facilities are the ones primarily providing care for the coronavirus if it's serious enough. Hospitals have the personnel, equipment, and medications. Of course, this threatens to overwhelm hospitals if there are too many patients requiring care. For example, see this Twitter thread for one physician's perspective of how hospitals in Northern Italy are overwhelmed.
2. However, if circumstances warrant it, one solution could be to turn community centers and even people's homes into makeshift "hospitals" to care for those in need. A health care worker could come and visit when needed (e.g. to administer medications in a neighborhood). Medical engineers could develop and build the required equipment for homes and communities. Portable or at least more portable versions of what's in the ICU. In fact, health care workers could teach Americans what to do. A lot of what happens in supportive care is teachable even to someone without any medical background. After all, a nation that could virtually single-handedly supply the entire Allied war effort during WW2 with planes, ships, jeeps, clothes, boots, helmets, food, guns, and many other things could presumably be inventive enough to build and able enough to supply our own citizens with necessary medical equipment and so on. Heck, China built an entire hospital hospital in 10 days just for the coronavirus. Surely we can do even more! We have a fine history of American ingenuity and productivity.
3. That was the carrot; here's the stick. I realize this is far from ideal. It wouldn't be the best care for a patient. Perhaps under normal circumstances it would even justify law suits for poor standard of care for patients. In fact, it's quite possible there would be tons of medical errors and some or many people might even die from the medical errors. However, if the situation is dire enough, and hospitals are running at double if not triple capacity, and people are dying anyway, then what other choices are there? This is just a thought.
Finessing the problem of evil
"it's possible for God to foresee evil without intending either it or its consequences, and to act and plan in a manner that provides for it."
"I'm using 'responsibility' and 'culpability' interchangeably."
"I'm actually kind of concerned now by what you mean by those cases being 'amoral'."
"God wills only good, otherwise He is not God."
"That the 'replacement' child is a good in no way makes the earlier child dying of leukemia not an evil."
Hype or doomsday?
i) The larger danger may be an artificial crisis by businesses and gov't officials panicking and overreacting. If we had drugstores and supermarkets close. Or if Internet providers send their employees home. Or if gov't officials attempt citywide lockdowns.
ii) Another scenario is that the virus will be severe in terms of infection rates and mortality rates. Ironically, there's a sense in which we shouldn't panic in a worst-case situation because there's little we can do to mitigate the damage. No point getting hysterical about something you have no control over.
According to (i), we have an avoidable catastrophe. Not the pandemic itself, but how people make it worse, maybe far worse, than it naturally is.
According to (ii), we have an unavoidable disaster, in which case I'm fatalistic.
One doomsday scenario is if the power company and public water system don't have enough healthy employees to keep things running.
And, of course, there's a cascade effect. It's not just about a supermarket having enough healthy employees for a skeleton staff at reduced hours. Supermarkets have to be constantly restocked by truckers.
If supermarkets close, they will be broken into and looted. Hospitals will be looted.
As Peter has often remarked, industrial, hitech societies are quite fragile compared to rural "backward" Third World countries. And cities are especially vulnerable to a cascade effect. Moreover, cities supply the suburbs.
At the moment, nations like Italy may be the canary in the coal mine. How Italy fares may presage what happens in the USA.
Security and liberty
Those who would give up essential liberty, to purchase a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. (Benjamin Franklin)
1. I think, somewhat ironically, what could be our undoing as a nation in light of the coronavirus (if, arguendo, it's going to be cataclysmic) is our respect for the rights of the individual and civil liberties in general. We can't (and shouldn't) take draconian measures like China can. We can't even do what some European nations can do where (it seems) they mandate top-down measures on the whole of society (e.g. Italy). So for us, generally speaking, social distancing and any other drastic measures have to be voluntary, enacted by local communities and individual states; it can't be coerced by the federal government or the powers that be. I think that's our great strength, but maybe it's also a great weakness when it comes to dealing with an epidemic. So, pace Franklin, it might come down to a choice between security and liberty, even though that's not a choice any full-blooded American would ever wish to make.
2. I think Lincoln suspended habeas corpus during wartime, but I don't know if we should treat the coronavirus pandemic as if we're in a war or similar.
3. If it becomes bad enough, but there's a vaccine, then this also goes to the question of whether we should mandate vaccinations against the coronavirus for the public good, even if there's a significant minority who would be up in arms about it (e.g. anti-vaxxers, libertarians).
Marian prooftexts
Mass suspended!
Some hard truths about the coronavirus
The behavior of people fighting over toilet paper reminds me of the words of Jesus: “For if people do these things when the tree is green, what will happen when it is dry?" God help us if we have to fight over anti-viral meds.
— Michael F. Bird (@mbird12) March 8, 2020
1. I think Bird makes a good point. As I've said in the past, how people are responding to the coronavirus is a bit more disconcerting to me than the coronavirus itself. Not that the coronavirus isn't a threat, but how people behave can sometimes make things worse.
2. It doesn't help that some "experts" fan the flames. They're contributing to unnecessary alarm.
3. Panicking is irrational. There's no need to shout at each other and fight over toilet paper and hand sanitizer. Certainly not at this point. If, however, something like this happens, then I'll admit it may be time to panic.
4. That said, we shouldn't be carefree about the coronavirus either. Here are some hard truths, at least as I see them, but obviously people should always fact-check everything for themselves:
Sunday, March 08, 2020
Self-inflicted punishment
@RandalRauserChristians sometimes defend the doctrine of hell as eternal conscious torment by saying that hell is self-imposed (rather than divinely-imposed) torment. But it is doubtful that this qualification helps much.
If a person was engaging in egregious self-harm, wouldn't you restrain them, forcibly if necessary? Hell on this view is surely the ultimate form of self-harm. And we are to suppose nobody intervenes for eternity?
Coronavirus vis-à-vis Contagion
1. I enjoyed the movie Contagion. I thought it was generally accurate and realistic. Below is a British physician reviewing the movie in light of what's happening with the coronavirus. I appreciate his humor and I think his review would be educational for many people too. Hence why I'm posting it.
2. As far as where things stand with the coronavirus at present. I haven't paid any attention to Scott Gottlieb until now, so I don't know what he's been saying about the coronavirus in the past, but I largely agree with his recent remarks here. There's a transcript as well.
International Women's Day
1. I'd argue Christianity has a higher regard for women than virtually any other religion or worldview. Perhaps a major exception is Judaism, though rabbinic Judaism is quite different than biblical Judaism. And secular humanism is parasitic on Judeo-Christian values about women. Anyway others better than I have written reams about all this so I won't belabor the point.
2. I don't know why we need an International Women's Day to celebrate women in general. I don't celebrate women in general, just like I don't celebrate men in general. There are good and bad among men and women.
3. It seems to me International Women's Day is just another diversity day to push feminism. I mean a mixture of second, third, and/or fourth wave feminism. Just like there are diversity days to push liberal or progressive values and goals about minorities like Native Americans, African-Americans, Latinos/Hispanics, and so on. Mind you, I support many minority issues, but what I don't support is the liberal or progressive use or manipulation of minorities to push their own agendas.
4. Besides, as far as that goes, why isn't there a UNESCO-recognized International Men's Day? Especially in light of all the issues and problems many men suffer today.
The value of fiction
Saturday, March 07, 2020
Thoughts on clerical celibacy
His position, as a lapsed Catholic, is ambivalent but interesting.
"Death is what gives life meaning"
@SecularOutpostDeath is what gives life meaning.The fact that life can be lost is what makes life meaningful.It’s the risk of loss of one’s own life that gives the other things meaning.
Why Did Polycrates Refer To John As A High Priest?
How plausible is it that Polycrates was referring to the son of Zebedee as a high priest in a metaphorical sense? Notice that one of the Johannine documents, Revelation, puts substantial emphasis on the theme of the priesthood of all believers (1:6, 5:10, 20:6). And notice that the theme appears early, within the first several verses, in addition to being spread out over a few segments of the book. It's a somewhat prominent theme. Similarly, both the fourth gospel and Revelation make much of Jesus' role as a sacrificial lamb, which has priestly associations, especially given the Johannine emphasis on how Jesus offered himself rather than having his life taken unwillingly. And the lamb of God theme appears early in the fourth gospel, in the first chapter (1:29). So, both of these Johannine documents put a lot of emphasis on priestly themes, even referring to them near the beginning, and Revelation emphasizes the theme of a metaphorical priesthood in particular.
If all believers are viewed as priests, it's not much of a further step to think of somebody like an apostle as a priest in a higher sense, such as being a high priest. In fact, Polycrates starts with a reference to the Beloved Disciple as a priest, then qualifies it with a reference to being a high priest. He may have had the Johannine concept of the priesthood of all believers in mind, which he then expanded into a metaphorical high priesthood for John.
Keep in mind, too, that the passage in Polycrates begins with a reference to figures like John as "great lights". There's no question that Polycrates is being metaphorical to some extent.
Much more can be said about Polycrates' comments. I'm not trying to be exhaustive here. Those who want to read more about the subject can consult my post responding to Bauckham linked above, his book, or Dean Furlong's recent book that I referred to earlier.