Friday, November 09, 2012
Secessionville
Bodyswap
18 Children, it is the last hour, and as you have heard that antichrist is coming, so now many antichrists have come. Therefore we know that it is the last hour. 19 They went out from us, but they were not of us; for if they had been of us, they would have continued with us. But they went out, that it might become plain that they all are not of us. 20 But you have been anointed by the Holy One, and you all have knowledge. 21 I write to you, not because you do not know the truth, but because you know it, and because no lie is of the truth. 22 Who is the liar but he who denies that Jesus is the Christ? This is the antichrist, he who denies the Father and the Son. 23 No one who denies the Son has the Father. Whoever confesses the Son has the Father also. 24 Let what you heard from the beginning abide in you. If what you heard from the beginning abides in you, then you too will abide in the Son and in the Father. 25 And this is the promise that he made to us—eternal life.26 I write these things to you about those who are trying to deceive you. 27 But the anointing that you received from him abides in you, and you have no need that anyone should teach you. But as his anointing teaches you about everything, and is true, and is no lie—just as it has taught you, abide in him (1 Jn 2:18-27).1 Beloved, do not believe every spirit, but test the spirits to see whether they are from God, for many false prophets have gone out into the world. 2 By this you know the Spirit of God: every spirit that confesses that Jesus Christ has come in the flesh is from God, 3 and every spirit that does not confess Jesus is not from God. This is the spirit of the antichrist, which you heard was coming and now is in the world already (1 Jn 4:1-3).
C.S. Lewis song
I didn't know there was a song called "C.S. Lewis."
Anyway, FWIW, here are the lyrics:
If I find in myself desires nothing in this world can satisfy,
I can only conclude that I was not made for here
If the flesh that I fight is at best only light and momentary,
then of course I'll feel nude when to where I'm destined I'm comparedSpeak to me in the light of the dawn
Mercy comes with the morning
I will sigh and with all creation groan as I wait for hope to come for meAm I lost or just less found? On the straight or on the roundabout of the wrong way?
Is this a soul that stirs in me, is it breaking free, wanting to come alive?
Cos my comfort would prefer for me to be numb
And avoid the impending birth of who I was born to becomeSpeak to me in the light of the dawn
Mercy comes with the morning
I will sigh and with all creation groan as I wait for hope to come for meFor we, we are not long here
Our time is but a breath, so we better breathe it
And I, I was made to live, I was made to love, I was made to know you
Hope is coming for me
Hope, he's coming
(On a totally different note, I found "Feel Inside (and stuff like that)" from the Flight of the Conchords hilarious! Song only version here.)
Thursday, November 08, 2012
The Red Queen
Does the election mark a cultural shift in popular opinion?
Guys,I just don't understand this talk about some enduring liberal hegemony or cultural decline evidenced in this last election. The fact of the matter is that at the national level, all the prime indicators are of a trend away from Obama and the Democrats. These trends weren't enough to cost him the election, but the trends are there nevertheless.Bizarrely, both liberal websites like the NY Times and some Christian commentators want to compare things to the 2004 Bush election. But surely the relevant point of comparison is 2008 Obama vs. McCain.In 2008, Obama had an 8% edge over McCain in the popular vote. In 2012, that shrunk to perhaps 2%.In 2008, the electoral vote totals were 365 (Obama) vs. 173 (McCain). In 2012, the totals were 303 (Obama) vs. 206 (Romney). Once again, the trend is away from Obama.In 2012, Democrats lost the electoral votes of two states they carried in 2008 (North Carolina and Indiana), and they gained no new states.So, by all indications, the nation was far less enthusiastic about Obama than four years ago. How does this translate into some national shift towards the Democratic agenda, or an enduring Democratic majority? Such talk floats as free of the evidence as all the triumphalistic blather about a permanent Republican majority in the wake of W's trouncing of Kerry in 2004.To be sure, legislative bellwethers aren't great: same-sex marriage, legalizing recreational marijuana, etc. But the national election just isn't indicating what many pundits are claiming. Check out the NY Times page on the exit polls, and click "Show Change From 2008":Nearly every demographic category trends toward Romney and away from Obama, compared to 2008, including the black vote, the unmarried vote, and all categories of age or education! The only exceptions were the Hispanic and Asian vote.Finally, the AP calculates that voter turnout was significantly down, only at 60%:Perhaps 117 million voted, compared to 131 million in 2008. If anything, the trend is towards apathy, not Obama-approval.As I usually ask: what am I missing?
This wasn't a referendum on social conservatism
Reelecting Obama does reflect moral indifference on the part of many voters, which is not the same thing as moral endorsement.
The minority vote
There’s No Liberal Majority
Voter turnout lower than it was in 2008
WASHINGTON (AP) - A drop in voter turnout in Tuesday's election didn't keep President Barack Obama from winning a second term.
Preliminary figures suggest fewer people voted this year than four years ago, when voters shattered turnout records as they elected Obama to his first term.
In most states, the numbers are shaping up to be even lower than in 2004, said Curtis Gans, director of American University's Center for the Study of the American Electorate. Every state is showing lower numbers than in 2008, Gans said. Still, the full picture may not be known for weeks because much of the counting takes place after Election Day.
"This is one of those rare elections in which turnout in every state in the nation went down," Gans said….
Both Obama and Republican Mitt Romney made voter turnout a top priority in the waning days of an intensely close race. But for months leading up to Election Day, both candidates were obsessed with that tiny sliver of undecided voters.
It may be that those who were still undecided Tuesday decided just not to show up, said Kyle Kondik, a political analyst at the University of Virginia's Center for Politics.
"Everyone was talking about how the Democrats are unenthusiastic and the Republicans are fired up," Kondik said. "It sounds like that was all talk."
But a few voter demographics exceeded 2008:
Polls earlier this year showed cooling interest among young voters in the Obama re-election campaign. But turnout among voters ages 18 to 29, in fact, eclipsed the 2008 election, with nearly 60% siding with the president.
The robust turnout by younger voters boosted Democrats nearly as much as the strong showing among Latinos.
The Mistake That Is the Libertarian Party
online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203922804578080684214526670.html
As a young libertarian, I was very enthusiastic about the formation of the Libertarian Party. I proudly cast my vote for Roger MacBride for president. I attended the 1975 national convention in New York that nominated him. But, while I am as libertarian today as I was then, I have come to believe that the Libertarian Party was a mistake.
The reason is simple. Unlike a parliamentary system in which governments are formed by coalitions of large and small parties, our electoral system is a first-past-the-post, winner-take-all one in which a winning presidential candidate just needs to get more than 50% of the vote. This means each contending "major" party is itself a coalition that needs to assemble enough diverse voting groups within it to get to 51%. Hence the need to appeal to the so-called moderates and independents rather than the more "extreme" elements within.
To the extent that a third party is successful, it will drain votes from the coalition party to which it is closest and help elect the coalition party that is further removed from its interests. The Libertarian Party's effort will, if effective, attract more libertarian voters away from the candidate who is marginally less hostile to liberty, and help hand the election to the candidate who is more hostile to liberty.
Fortunately, because this drawback is so obvious, the Libertarian Party's presidential vote has remained minuscule...
Libertarian activists should choose whichever party they feel more comfortable working within. That's what Ron Paul did. Likewise, Rand Paul has brought his libertarianism inside the GOP tent. The small-"l" libertarians in the tea party movement identified the Republican Party as the coalition closest to their concerns about fiscal responsibility and the growth of government power, and they have gone about making the GOP more libertarian from the grass-roots up. They have moved the party in a libertarian direction, as has the Republican Liberty Caucus.
Despite all this, some libertarians continue to insist that, because the Republican and Democrats are equally bad for liberty, it makes no difference who gets elected. However true this once was, in recent years Republicans have been better for liberty and Democrats have been worse...
Libertarian activists need to set aside their decades-old knee-jerk reactions to the two major parties, roll up their sleeves, and make the Republican and Democratic parties more libertarian. When it comes to voting, libertarians need to get serious about liberty and give up on the Libertarian Party.
I am all for "coalition building". I think that social conservatives need to think along these lines as well.
There are two reasons, I think, why that guys like Barone, George Will, Dick Morris and the others predicted a big Romney win, but missed something.
First, turnout among voters ages 18 to 29 eclipsed the 2008 election, with nearly 60% siding with the president. This support was largely invisible because it wasn't visible in the sources we were looking at. It largely occurred in various social media: Facebook, reddit, etc. Places where young people would hang out but which some of us older guys didn't see very well.
Second, "social conservatives" largely did stay home. Voter turnout was far below 2008 levels in many places. While in Pennsylvania, for example, Obama was able to match his 2008 totals here, Romney pulled far lower vote totals than even McCain did. I think that was the difference.
It doesn't pay to be a one-issue voter in a Presidential election. One-issue voters will not be able to win. It takes consensus-building and a willingness to compromise on some issues in order to become successful in the bigger picture.
Wednesday, November 07, 2012
Listen Up All You RINO Roves Out There...
MARK LEVIN: We conservatives, we do not accept bipartisanship in the pursuit of tyranny. Period. We will not negotiate the terms of our economic and political servitude. Period. We will not abandon our child to a dark and bleak future. We will not accept a fate that is alien to the legacy we inherited from every single future generation in this country. We will not accept social engineering by politicians and bureaucrats who treat us like lab rats, rather than self-sufficient human beings. There are those in this country who choose tyranny over liberty. They do not speak for us, 57 million of us who voted against this yesterday, and they do not get to dictate to us under our Constitution.
We are the alternative. We will resist. We're not going to surrender to this. We will not be passive, we will not be compliant in our demise. We're not good losers, you better believe we're sore losers! A good loser is a loser forever. Now I hear we're called 'purists.' Conservatives are called purists. The very people who keep nominating moderates, now call us purists the way the left calls us purists. Yeah, things like liberty, and property rights, individual sovereignty, and the Constitution, and capitalism. We're purists now. And we have to hear this crap from conservatives, or pseudo-conservatives, Republicans.
http://www.marklevinshow.com/Article.asp?id=2569741&spid=32345
[postscript: The RINO Roves out there: you and your ex-Bush colleagues gave us Obama because of your policies during the Bush administration So stop lecturing us conservatives on "how we should proceed."]

