Friday, May 06, 2011

Karl Rove Assesses Republican Chances in 2012

Karl Rove, who was the political mastermind behind the two George W. Bush elections in 2000 and 2004, assessed Republican chances in the 2012 presidential election.

• Obama won the electoral count in 2008, 365 to 173.

• Reapportionment in congress, based on the 2010 census, means that 18 states have experienced a change in their number of electoral votes. This reapportionment alone would have given John McCain an additional 14 electoral votes.

• Obama narrowly won three traditionally Republican states in 2008: Indiana, Virginia and North Carolina. He “will be hard-pressed to win these states and their 39 electoral votes next year.”

• Ohio, with 18 electoral votes, and Florida, with 29, both went Democratic in 2008. But “a recent Quinnipiac University poll in Florida shows the president losing to a generic, unnamed Republican by three points.”

• There are nine other “battleground states” which Rove expects will again be battlegrounds: New Hampshire (4), Pennsylvania (20), Michigan (16), Wisconsin (10), Iowa (six), and Minnesota (10), Colorado (9), New Mexico (5) and Nevada (6).

“The 2012 presidential election is likely to be decided in 14 states. If Mr. Obama loses the three states he narrowly carried in 2008 plus Ohio and Florida, then the GOP would win back the White House by swiping any one of the nine remaining battlegrounds. This is a good place for the party to be right now…. Mr. Obama has the considerable benefits of incumbency but also a dismal record. The electoral map has shrunk for him: Key states that went for him last time are unlikely to do so again. This election is within the GOP's grasp. The quality of the Republican candidate's campaign and message will decide whether it becomes so.”


  1. Doesn't matter, rapture is coming in like 12 days

  2. Monotheistic idolatry is no better than polytheistic idolatry

    But where do you draw the line? You could also say the same about the Arminian god. But would you say Arminians do not really worship the one true God?

    In fact you can say that about all of us, since all of us have inaccurate perceptions of God to some degree.

    I think the demarcation is best done with a person's response to Jesus. Since Jesus said if you reject him you reject the one that sent him.

    Thus, like Judaism, while Islam's perception of God may have a lot of accurate components (more accurate than Arminians in some respects?) they do not truly worship Him, since just like Israel professed to be God worshippers, but denied it by rejecting the prophets, so too Muslims profess to be God worshippers but deny it by rejecting Christ for who he claimed to be.

  3. err, I don't know why my comment has showed up here, it should be on the Allah post.

  4. Steven: Doesn't matter, rapture is coming in like 12 days

    Maybe some folks will figure out that ain't gonna happen.

    Halo: I think you posted your comment on the wrong thread.


    "err, I don't know why my comment has showed up here, it should be on the Allah post."

    Allah is messing with you!