tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6789188.post3576163965324009132..comments2024-03-27T17:15:37.606-04:00Comments on Triablogue: Alienating Trump Opponents Is More CostlyRyanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17809283662428917799noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6789188.post-83348902577925052312016-03-17T13:09:41.062-04:002016-03-17T13:09:41.062-04:00Many of the polls do not poll cell phones. This p...Many of the polls do not poll cell phones. This particularly skews results when there is strong age bias in the results. Many young people don't even own land lines. Sanders is a particularly good example of that since his support tends to heavily skew toward the younger crown.Bob Edwardshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07360099643007797812noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6789188.post-3849510621274307202016-03-17T12:12:25.362-04:002016-03-17T12:12:25.362-04:00...it appears that all comers lose to Hillary in a...<i>...it appears that all comers lose to Hillary in all scenarios, so I'm not sure what difference it makes in the end....</i><br /><br />I think if you look at the polling methodologies, you'll find that the pollsters are having difficulties this year. For example, Sanders has been much closer than the polls have predicted, and they were flat out wrong in Michigan (and the couple of states that Sanders won on Tuesday) -- and I'd chalk that up to the fact that the polls can't measure the "enthusiasm gap" -- the folks out at the rallies aren't the folks who are sitting home and taking phone calls from pollsters. John Bugayhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17728044301053738095noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6789188.post-28390076898771710882016-03-17T08:32:42.850-04:002016-03-17T08:32:42.850-04:00Great points, Jason.
"will discourage moveme...Great points, Jason.<br /><br />"will discourage movements like the Trump movement in the future"<br /><br />This is a very important one. It would greatly damage the public discourse and political process if future candidates started taking cues from Trump's puerile demagoguery and running their campaigns like Trump. We could expect more rioting at political events as people accept it as part of the tough-guy political process and candidates believe that it won't damage their support base but only solidify and mobilize them. <br /><br />Unfortunately Trump has probably already done a lot of damage in regards to how future campaigns will be run.Johnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05690738239872948496noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6789188.post-42641769377294859562016-03-17T07:30:07.976-04:002016-03-17T07:30:07.976-04:00Cruz is doing a decent job of positioning himself ...Cruz is doing a decent job of positioning himself as a Trump alternative, but that's a fine line too. To alienate both the GOP establishment AND Trump's base would be fatal, I think.<br /><br />Plus it appears that all comers lose to Hillary in all scenarios, so I'm not sure what difference it makes in the end. Trump has exposed and driven a wedge into a schism within the Republican party, which will continue to be exploited and explored by future candidates. He's opened Pandora's box, and there's no closing it.<br /><br />CRhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03231394164372721485noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6789188.post-39738115737202557432016-03-17T06:11:06.981-04:002016-03-17T06:11:06.981-04:00Good points, Jason!
Not to mention a lot of Trum...Good points, Jason! <br /><br />Not to mention a lot of Trump supporters are liberal. Such as those who voted for him in open primary states. Patrick Chanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16095377877712197984noreply@blogger.com